Monday, April 13, 2009

Ah, the South

Kos asks questions. Funny.

Setup by Atrios: Our most excellent pundits are generally very quick to buy into the idea that everybody hates Yurp, that "real Americans" detest San Francisco. I'm not sure how much reality is going to change for them to catch up, but so glad they imagine themselves to be stand-ins for the "reglar folks."

Poll: Americans love France, San Francisco, Europe, and NYC

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 4/5-9. All adults. MoE 2% (No trend lines)

QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable

opinion of the city of San Francisco?


FAVUNFAVNO OPINION
ALL652411
MEN63289
WOMEN672013
DEM71218
REP583210
IND642313
OTH/REF612613
NON VOTERS662014
WHITE642511
BLACK682210
LATINO662311
OTHER/REF672013
18-29692011
30-44632611
45-59662212
60+622711
NORTHEAST721612
SOUTH484210
MIDWEST701911
WEST751411

Check it out, this is fascinating stuff. Everyone likes San Francisco. Even Republicans (58-32). In fact, there is only one demographic that radically differs from all the rest -- Southerners. I bet that If we could take out Southern Republicans from this sample, Republicans in the rest of the country look like everyone else.

This is all significant for a reason I'll state further below. For now, let's look at three other conservative geographic boogeymen: New York, France, and Europe. (Full crosstabs at the link above.)

QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of the city of New York?


FAVUNFAVNO OPINION
ALL66268
DEM72226
REP59356
IND65269
OTH/REF622810
NORTHEAST80155
SOUTH464410
MIDWEST72208
WEST73189

QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of the country of France?


FAVUNFAVNO OPINION
ALL66268
DEM72226
REP59356
IND65269
OTH/REF622810
NORTHEAST80155
SOUTH464410
MIDWEST72208
WEST73189

QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of the continent of Europe?


FAVUNFAVNO OPINION
ALL63298
DEM68266
REP58348
IND62299
OTH/REF61327
NORTHEAST74188
SOUTH45487
MIDWEST69238
WEST71209

All of them feature the same dynamic as San Francisco -- Republicans have solidly favorable ratings (as do every other demographic tested), but head down South, and it's a whole different world, dramatically out of step with the rest of America.

What's this mean? It means that all that France and Europe demonizing, and all that talk of "San Francisco liberals" and "San Francisco values", and all that New York bashing (like Rush leaving Manhattan), plays to a very small core of people, and specifically to the conservative's Southern base.

This is clear evidence that the GOP has become a rump regional party. Because everyone else in America is just scratching their head at all that hatred directed at these places. They like San Francisco a lot. They love France. They think Europe is fantastic. And not even the New York Yankees can get people to hate on the Big Apple. And the more the Rushes and Becks bash those places, the more out of step with the Real America conservatives appear.

They might as well be bashing puppies, apple pie, and moms.

The irony? Even Southerners have a net positive favorability for San Francisco (+6), New York City (+2), and Europe (+2). In other words, even in their regional stronghold, they're just speaking to a minority.

  • Joe Sudbay (DC) adds: Barely one-third of the American people have confidence in Congressional Republicans. Of all those tested, only the Republicans had a higher negative rating. When it comes to having confidence in the GOP on the economy, 58% of Americans have "almost a little or none." The Congressional Republicans have earned that lack of confidence. The GOP strategy of saying "NO" has resulted in NO confidence.


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